Sean Murray


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Is Marketplace Lending Really Just Westworld?

December 5, 2016
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westworld

If you haven’t watched HBO’s new flagship TV show Westworld, my analogy may have some broad spoilers so you might want to look away. Also, you should start watching the show.

In a world controlled by banks, people can visit a world where the hosts looks like banks but aren’t. They’re non-banks with bank-like attributes run off of advanced programming. You can borrow from them, pay them back, invest in them and securitize their loans. They seem real indeed, but the real banks are the chartered ones that pull their strings and script their stories.

In this real life version of Westworld, might the proposed OCC charter be the maze?

A rose is a rose is a rose.

The CAN Capital Shakeup Is A Sign of the Times

November 30, 2016
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Update 11/30 7:30 pm: CAN says they are still open for business and still providing access to capital for current customers and renewal business. They are not actively seeking new business at this time, but will evaluate it as it comes in.

busting bubblePart II of the industry’s season finale has begun. On Tuesday afternoon, CAN Capital confirmed that CEO Dan DeMeo had been put on a leave of absence. The chief risk officer and chief financial officer have also reportedly stepped down. Parris Sanz, the company’s chief legal officer, is now running the company, a CAN spokesperson said. His new title, acting head (which is how their statement referred to him), is perhaps a subtle clue that the company did not plan these moves far in advance. And it’s the phrasing that’s used to describe the departure of these executives that’s worth raising an eyebrow. A leave of absence? A curious fate indeed.

In an exclusive interview deBanked conducted with DeMeo last year, he said of CAN at the time, “it’s a self-sustaining business. We’re not forced to approach the capital market to cover our burn rate. We’re cash-flow positive.”

But more recently, there’s a different tone. A spokesperson for CAN said that the company had “self-identified that some assets were not performing as expected and that there was a need for process improvements in collections.” The sudden decapitation of the company’s top officers seems a harsh consequence for this apparent underperformance, especially given that CAN has long been on the short-list as a potential IPO candidate. DeMeo himself had been with the company since 2010, having started originally as the CFO and rising to the CEO position in 2013.

While CAN Capital is a private company, they are notable in that they have originated more than $6 billion in funding to small businesses since 1998 and secured a $650 million credit facility led by Wells Fargo just last year.

Some of CAN’s ISOs report being told that originations have been put on hold until January. A source with close knowledge of the company however, said that’s not correct. The Financial Times reported though that CAN had paused new business until the end of the year and would only be servicing current customers. And they might indeed need time to upgrade their systems since American Banker cited an unnamed source that said “problems arose when CAN Capital used old systems, which were not designed to require daily repayments, to collect money owed by term loan borrowers.”

Some outsiders are not surprised by what’s going. Alex Gemici, the chief revenue officer of World Business Lenders (WBL), said that it’s an indicator that uncollateralized lending is not the panacea everyone thought it was. “What we’ve been saying all along is right there on deBanked,” Gemici said, while directing me to the prediction they made a year ago that appears right on this website. At a December 2015 event at the Waldorf Astoria, WBL CEO Doug Naidus told a crowd comprised mostly of his company’s employees that he believed the bubble was about to burst. He doubled down on that prophecy in an interview four months ago in which he chided companies for having forsaken sound underwriting.

Is he right? In the last six months, the CEOs of Lending Club, Prosper and CAN Capital have all stepped down. Avant shed a lot of its staff. Dealstruck, Circleback Lending and Windset Capital have stopped funding. Confidence in the business side of alternative finance has also started to slip on a measurable basis before the election even happened.

“I believe companies are experiencing higher than normal losses due to a serious lack of proper underwriting practices, policies, and procedures,” said Andrew Hernandez, a managing partner at Central Diligence Group, a company that specializes in risk analysis who wasn’t commenting about any lender specifically. “As I say to people not familiar with the space, ‘putting the money out is the easy side of the business; getting it back is what proves to be the most difficult.'”

But CAN has not specifically fingered underwriting practices as the reason for their management shakeup, instead leaning towards it being a lapse in their process as the company grew. “It became clear that our business has grown and evolved faster than some of our internal processes,” they said in their statement.

The only alternative business lender funding more annually is OnDeck, a company that has garnered its fair share of criticism over its lackluster financial performance. Their stock is currently down a whopping 77% from the IPO price, but they have put on a good face for the industry they lead. The familiarity of their famous CEO and the decade in business under their belt arguably even has a calming effect on the tumultuous world of financial technology startups.

OnDeck too though, has been referenced in the context of bursting bubbles. Less than two years ago, RapidAdvance chairman Jeremy Brown voiced concern that the industry was heading into unsustainable territory, even going so far as to call out OnDeck by name. “When I see some of the business practices, offers, terms and other aspects of our business today, I am worried,” he wrote. “I am worried because I believe that 2008 has been too quickly forgotten, and very few, other than those of us that were on the front lines on the funding side at that time, appreciate what happened to outstanding portfolios at that time when average duration was 6 months and no deals were written over 8 months.”

For risk experts like Hernandez of Central Diligence Group, he thinks the newness of everything has been part of the problem. “I believe [funding companies] have faced a big hurdle in acquiring talent,” he said while adding that funding companies can be forced to hire underwriters with no prior knowledge of the product just to keep up with the growth.

While still very little is known about what exactly happened at CAN Capital, most people that deBanked spoke with were shocked that anything could happen there at all. “It’s insane,” said the chief executive of another competitor who wished to remain anonymous. “This is CAN we’re talking about.”

A sign of the times?

Shakeup at CAN Capital – CEO and 2 other Execs Put on Leave of Absence

November 29, 2016
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Update 11/30 7:30 pm: CAN says they are still open for business and still providing access to capital for current customers and renewal business. They are not actively seeking new business at this time, but will evaluate it as it comes in.

CAN Capital has confirmed that CEO Dan DeMeo has gone on a leave of absence. The company’s chief financial officer Aman Verjee and chief risk officer Kenneth Gang have also reportedly stepped down. Parris Sanz, the company’s Chief Legal Officer, has been made acting head of the company, while Ritesh Gupta has been promoted to COO.

A statement from CAN Capital is below:
As the board and our leadership team conducted our business reviews and looked at how we can best position the firm for future growth, we self-identified that some assets were not performing as expected and that there was a need for process improvements in collections. It became clear that our business has grown and evolved faster than some of our internal processes. As we work to improve these processes, the Board has named twelve-year CAN Capital veteran and senior executive, Parris Sanz acting head of the company and promoted Ritesh Gupta to COO, while Dan DeMeo, CEO, and two other members of his team are on a leave of absence. Over the past 18 years CAN Capital has consistently made decisions to position ourselves for growth and leadership in the industry and we look forward to helping small businesses succeed for many years to come.

Some of CAN Capital’s referral partners have reported to us that the funding of new deals has been put on hold until January 2017. This could not be confirmed, however. (Update: This was later confirmed)

More than just an industry leader, CAN was founded in 1998 and is widely regarded as the first merchant cash advance company. A year ago, deBanked featured Dan DeMeo and CAN in a story to mark their success. As of April this year, they had funded more than $6 billion since inception. In August, they secured a coveted partnership with Entrepreneur Magazine.

Having secured a $650 million credit facility last year led by Wells Fargo, they are the second largest player in the alternative business finance industry behind OnDeck.

Sanz joined the company in 2004 with more than 12 years of experience as a corporate, securities, and transactional attorney. Before joining CAN Capital, he was a senior executive and General Counsel of a specialty pharmaceutical company, the successful sale of which he led in 2003. Prior to that, Sanz was an attorney in private practice at the law firms of Latham & Watkins in Los Angeles and Paul, Hastings, Janofsky & Walker in San Francisco, where he handled a wide variety of M&A transactions, securities offerings including IPOs, and other corporate transactions, and acted as outside general counsel to a number of technology start-ups.

Sanz received his J.D. from Harvard Law School in 1993 and a Bachelor of Arts degree from U.C. Berkeley, High Honors and Phi Beta Kappa, in 1990. Sanz is admitted to practice in California and Washington, D.C., is a registered In-House Counsel in New York, and is also admitted to practice before the United States Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit.

Q3 2016: Confidence in the Small Business Financing Industry’s Success Down Slightly

November 29, 2016
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Confidence in the industry’s continued success was down among small business financing CEOs in the third quarter, according to the latest survey conducted by Bryant Park Capital and deBanked. At 75.8%, it’s the lowest level recorded since surveying began late last year.

CEO Confidence on Continued Success

Respondents were not asked the reasoning for their confidence score, but the sentiment may have been influenced by what seemed like an impending Clinton presidency at the time and the 4 more years of regulatory pressure on financial services that would’ve continued as a result. The survey was conducted before the election. Also, the correction taking place in the consumer space with companies like Prosper and Avant have allowed a general feeling of pessimism to waft through the alternative financing universe.

Still, at 75.8%, which is still well into positive territory, the mood is probably best described as cautiously optimistic. The euphoria in Q1 at 91.7%, preceded the resignation of Lending Club’s founder and CEO, which symbolically burst alternative lending’s bubble.

Curiously, industry CEOs were slightly more confident in their ability to access capital needed to grow their business. Respondents were not asked what their capital source options were or the respective costs, but it signals that there are still plenty of investors interested in the space.

CEO Confidence on Access to Capital


Bryant Park Capital and deBanked also produce a comprehensive full-year industry report, available to anyone for $495. To purchase the 2015 report, you can contact me at sean@debanked.com

The History of Alternative Finance (As Told Through Memes)

November 21, 2016
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Exactly four years ago, I honored the Thanksgiving holiday by slightly exaggerating the industry’s history in a blog post. And every year around this time since, I’ve reposted it to the home page for all the newbies to enjoy. But in 2016, it just doesn’t seem as applicable. Too many things have changed, especially compared to when I first joined the industry.

The technological experience I remember as an underwriter back in 2006 might as well have been the 1700s. From my perspective, here’s how things have changed:

submitting a funding application


small business finance underwriters


Accelerated aging in the industry


underwriting approvals


10 years in sales


being cool in '06


logging in


smoke break


Wall Street Villains


I don’t know about you, but I am afraid to see where we will be in 2026.

Happy Thanksgiving! 🙂

The Season Finale of Alternative Lending Has Everything You’d Expect

November 17, 2016
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Season Finale of Alternative Lending

This month kicked off what appears to be the first segment of the 2016 two-part season finale of alternative lending. So far, it has everything you’d expect, a main character gets killed off, another simply won’t be returning next season, a wedding, a scandal and even a cliffhanger!

So in that precise order, here’s what you missed:

A main character’s surprising death
Crowdfund Insider reported on Wednesday that Dealstruck, a small business lender, had ceased lending operations. An email sent to Dealstruck has not yet been returned, but Crowdfund Insider’s story includes a quote from Dealstruck’s CEO saying that the company is no longer originating new loans.

The company initially arrived on the scene to much fanfare. A writeup in techcrunch last year said that they had raised $8.3 million in venture financing and secured a $50 million credit facility.

Guess who won’t be back next season
Aaron Vermut is stepping down as Prosper Marketplace’s CEO. He is being replaced by company CFO David Kimball. Vermut’s father, Stephan Vermut is also stepping down as executive chairman.

A wedding between an old character and a new one
Peerform, which was founded in 2011, has been acquired by Versara Lending. Versara, an unfamiliar name, appears to be related to NYC-based Strategic Financial Solutions, a debt relief company headed by Ryan Sasson. Peerform CEO Mikael Rapaport has updated his LinkedIn profile to reflect a new role at both Versara and Strategic.

Scandal! The fake business loan negotiator from upstate New York has been arrested
His name is Sergiy Bezrukov, but the world may know him by another name (or three), John Butler, Thomas Paris or Christopher Riley. After terrorizing the MCA and business lending industry for almost a year, he now sits in prison awaiting trial.

Cliffhanger
Oh, so you thought Prosper would file their 10-Q on Tuesday? You were wrong. The company instead informed the SEC that they would be filing their report late, leaving loan investors wondering if there may be more to the recent executive departures.

Stay tuned!
If this were really a TV show, you’d probably think it jumped the shark when the country elected a President that pledged to dismantle Dodd-Frank while potentially defanging the CFPB. But that is precisely what has happened. “The Dodd-Frank economy does not work for working people,” the President-Elect’s website states. “Bureaucratic red tape and Washington mandates are not the answer. The Financial Services Policy Implementation team will be working to dismantle the Dodd-Frank Act and replace it with new policies to encourage economic growth and job creation.”

If anything, this is all the more reason that you should be tuning in and following the industry in 2017.

The Status of Prosper Marketplace???

November 16, 2016
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Prosper MarketplaceLoan investors will have to wait even longer to find out if the resignation of Prosper’s chief executive on Monday holds special significance. That’s because on Tuesday the company informed the SEC that they would be filing their 3rd quarter results late. They were unable to complete the report in a timely manner, according to the filing, “without unreasonable effort or expense due to a delay experienced by the Registrants in completing its financial statements and other disclosures in the Quarterly Report relating to a recent arbitration decision.”

Jay Antenen, the Senior Editor for DealReporter, said on twitter that the arbitration reference has to do with “the early 2013 loan purchase agreement Prosper signed with Colchis.” According to a brief Antenen published with Eleanor Duncan on Debtwire, “Under that deal, Colchis gained the right to see Prosper’s origination pipeline and bid for loans at no disadvantage to other investors on the platform.” Apparently, there may be some tension between Colchis and new investors.

This all belies the fact that Prosper’s previous quarter produced a gut-wrenching $35.5 million loss on just $28 million in revenue. They had $14 million in expenses just from restructuring related to their downsizing and layoffs which included the closing of their Salt Lake City office and the termination of 167 employees. Their first quarter of the year yielded a $17 million loss on $56.5 million in revenue.

Meanwhile, loan performance has remained fairly steady, even as they continue to make regular pricing adjustments.

On Monday, the company’s CFO, David Kimball, was promoted to CEO to take over Aaron Vermut’s role. Vermut will remain on the company’s board.

The Art of The ‘Thiel’ – With Fintech Leader On Trump’s Transition Team, Alternative Lenders Could Benefit

November 13, 2016
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Keynote Presentation by Peter Thiel, Entrepreneur and Investor, founder of PayPal, at the LendIt USA 2016 conference in San Francisco, California, USA on April 12, 2016. (photo by Gabe Palacio)

Keynote Presentation by Peter Thiel, Entrepreneur and Investor, founder of PayPal, at the LendIt USA 2016 conference in San Francisco, California, USA on April 12, 2016. (photo by Gabe Palacio)

Peter Thiel is famous for a lot of things, co-founding PayPal, backing Hulk Hogan’s lawsuit against Gawker and being a billionaire venture capitalist, just to name a few. Accustomed to shaking up Silicon Valley with his investments and antics, these days Thiel stands to impart his wisdom on another region, Washington DC. That’s because last week he became part of the Executive Committee of President-Elect Trump’s transition team.

After speaking at the 2016 Republican National Convention and donating $1.25 million towards Trump’s election efforts, his allegiance to the campaign should come as no surprise. His support is said to be genuine too, and that’s perhaps because the two have relied on similar rhetoric to make their points.

“Competition is For Losers”

Who said that quote? If you thought Donald Trump, you’re wrong, but you wouldn’t be blamed for thinking that given that so much of Trump’s mantra was focused on America “winning.” Competition is For Losers is the title of a 2014 Wall Street Journal essay penned by Thiel, that argued a perfectly competitive marketplace, an economic utopia, is flawed. “In business, equilibrium means stasis, and stasis means death,” he wrote. Entrepreneurs should instead strive for a monopoly, to win, he explained.

Winning is certainly something Thiel has done a lot of, making him a role model of the Trump credo.

“I think they should be described as terrorists, not as writers or reporters.”

Who said that quote? If you thought Donald Trump, you’re wrong, but you wouldn’t be blamed for thinking that given Trump’s hostility towards the media. Thiel said that in 2009 about Gawker reporters, and he bottled up that disdain and unleashed it in the form of financial support for Hulk Hogan against Gawker in a lawsuit years later, the force of which crippled Gawker and put the company into bankruptcy. It’s a revenge narrative that sounds oddly Trumpesque.

While there are likely more contrasts between the two men than similarities like these, both share a special penchant for winning. And more to the point, in a Trump presidency, Thiel may have his ear.

That should be welcome news to fintech and alternative lenders, given Thiel’s strong financial interest in that sector. Small business lender OnDeck has already experienced a 43% increase in its stock price since Trump was announced the winner. Enova, which bought merchant cash advance firm The Business Backer, is up 13%. That’s no doubt in part a result of Trump’s campaign promises to put a moratorium on financial regulations and recent pledge to dismantle the Dodd-Frank Act.

But with Thiel, his ties to alternative lending and fintech were made evident when he gave the keynote speech at LendIt earlier this year in San Francisco, in which he colorfully reiterated his theory about competition being a losing endeavor. “If you want to compete like crazy, you should just leave the conference and try to open a restaurant in San Francisco,” he said.

Thiel participated in SoFi’s $80 Million Series C round and Avant’s $225 million Series D round. “There are a lot of banks in the United States, but not enough access to credit,” he said in an announcement for the latter at the time.

He also participated in ZestFinance’s Series C round and both OnDeck’s D and E rounds.

And more recently, his VC fund, Founder’s Fund, led the $100 million Series D round of Affirm. The fund has also invested in Able Lending, BitPay and Upstart.

Keynote Presentation by Peter Thiel, Entrepreneur and Investor, founder of PayPal,  at the LendIt USA 2016 conference in San Francisco, California, USA on April 12, 2016. (photo by Gabe Palacio)

Keynote Presentation by Peter Thiel, Entrepreneur and Investor, founder of PayPal, at the LendIt USA 2016 conference in San Francisco, California, USA on April 12, 2016. (photo by Gabe Palacio)

Last month, Phin Upham, a principal of Thiel Capital, another of Thiel’s investment firms, dismissed Goldman Sachs’ recent attempt to cash in on tech-based lending. “I wonder if Goldman will actually be able to keep up, because this is not a mature industry, everything changes sometimes within months.”

The NY Times reported that Thiel will not be moving to Washington and may not have a formal role in the administration, but that he will have a voice.

“A page in the book of history has turned, and there is an opening to think about some of our problems from a new perspective,” the Times reported Thiel saying. “I’ll try to help the president in any way I can.”

If truly given the opportunity to do so, Thiel’s influence could be a boon to fintech and the larger economy as a whole.

At the Money2020 conference last month, Trump was largely and quite openly derided by industry leaders. They may soon be changing their tune.

Other members of the Executive Committee of the transition team include:

  • Congressman Lou Barletta
  • Congresswoman Marsha Blackburn
  • Florida Attorney General Pam Bondi
  • Congressman Chris Collins
  • Jared Kushner
  • Congressman Tom Marino
  • Rebekah Mercer
  • Steven Mnuchin
  • Congressman Devin Nunesv
  • Anthony Scaramucci
  • Donald Trump Jr.
  • Eric Trump
  • Ivanka Trump
  • RNC Chairman Reince Priebus
  • Trump Campaign CEO Stephen K. Bannon

It is quite possible that we may soon be making fintech ‘Great Again’