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Volume Decline? Can It Be True?

Started by Peter, September 03, 2014, 11:00:00 PM

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DanB

So is it true that Lending Club actually had a decline in volume back in June? It's first decline after 39 consecutive months of volume increases?  I heard about it a few weeks back, but thought that it couldn't possibly even remotely be true, since something newsworthy like that would have surely been reported immediately on this site by our non investigative reporter/ party planner blog owner.

I'm sorry, I'm being abrasive again. I will excuse myself now before someone here offers me a Kool-Aid https://forum.lendacademy.com/Smileys/default/smiley.gif" alt=":)" title="Smiley" class="smiley" />

rawraw

Wait . . . did the volume decline?

And DanB, you sure like stirring the pot ha ha

core

Of course the volume had to decline in June, Dan.  This says nothing about Lending Club's inept management; there was simply nowhere else for it to go but down, because the interest in MH370's disappearance was waning by May.

When the Boeing 777 disappeared in March, Lending Club took advantage of the deaths of 239 people by running ads on the major news channels.  The results exceeded their wildest expectations and they were knocking it out of the park March-April.  But even the greatest aviation mystery of all time only captivates people so long, given that the average person's attention span these days is that of a gnat.  There was no way, short of a miracle or another air disaster, that the numbers could be sustained through June.

I'm going to give Lending Club the benefit of the doubt here and say that they "probably" had nothing to do with MH370's disappearance, even though they cashed in big time.  Just in the right place at the right time, yeah that's the ticket.  And now Malaysian Airlines loses another one, MH17 shot down supposedly by the "Russians".  Is someone trying to recapture past glory?  I don't know, but looking over the LC roster they have quite a few employees from "odd" places all over the world.  Based on their photos many of them seem to be screwballs, and from their resumes I can't see any special talents... certainly no talents that you couldn't get right here in the USA from a non-commie American.  Either these employees were cheap or they had "connections" that Lending Club wanted.

TravelingPennies

Uh-huh. Though we can all agree that Core does have his lucid & intelligent days, today appears to be one of those other days. Please Core I'm begging you not to help me on this thread.   

TravelingPennies

Yeah and I'm even sober today Dan.  Disbelief of the reasons aside, the point remains: the volume had to go down because it had skyrocketed to unsustainable levels.



Victor

I noticed another sharp decline in available loans but missed the boat on the volume decline.  Could these declines be related to the impending IPO and a planned (required) reduction in marketing (self-promotion) to potential borrowers in an effort to avoid running afoul of the SEC in some way?

BruiserB

So where is it documented that there was a decline?  Not saying there wasn't, just wondering if this is fact or conjecture?  I know LC doesn't release monthly figures any longer and it has been pretty clear that they manipulate volume by controlling loan issues near the end of months. 

I don't think anyone here is unwilling to listen to negatives about the P2P lenders, but I don't really feel like playing guessing games to figure it out.  If you know something about the volume, tell us, don't taunt us.

I've been unhappy with many of LC's recent changes, but so far none of them have convinced me that I should be moving funds elsewhere. I did actually open a Prosper account, but didn't fund it yet as I'm not convinced things are better over there. I do also appreciate that Lending Club has a business to run, so even if I don't like some of the changes, if they make the business and the platform healthier and more financially stable, then I understand that.  However, if they begin to erode investor performance and can't achieve acceptable financial results, then I want to know about that as well.  It's possible to be direct with bad news without playing games or insulting people with differing opinions.


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TravelingPennies

I love Peter, mainly because he strikes me as a very upbeat/optimistic guy.  And despite me being a negative Nancy about risk here from time to time, he has always been welcoming to me.  So try to lighten up on the guy himself -- but I do agree it is really strange to tout volume increase every month and then ignore the first one to decline.

I've commented once to Peter on his blog that he needs to avoid Lendit and the forum just being a sales pitch for P2P.  The problem is  putting a bunch of optimists in the room about finance can quickly lead to disaster. 

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