P2P Lending / NFT Lending Forum

General Category => General P2P Lending Discussion => Topic started by: Emmanuel on April 15, 2014, 11:00:00 PM

Title: How to calculate Peer Lending returns
Post by: Emmanuel on April 15, 2014, 11:00:00 PM
It seems each marketplace has its own way of calculating returns, none of them fully satisfying.
Maybe it's time to settle on something consistent...

So, here's our proposal: http://marotte.net/LendingRobot_CalculatingReturns.html

(Still a draft, I'll move it to LendingRobot.com once it's final)

Any comments, suggestions or thoughts ??
Title: How to calculate Peer Lending returns
Post by: core on April 15, 2014, 11:00:00 PM
I think this is how BetaMax started, Emmanuel.  Best wishes.

Not that I don't have beta tapes that I cherish.  Just saying.
Title: How to calculate Peer Lending returns
Post by: Fred on April 15, 2014, 11:00:00 PM
Quote
Title: How to calculate Peer Lending returns
Post by: TravelingPennies on April 16, 2014, 11:00:00 PM
from: Fred on April 16, 2014, 09:59:01 PM
Title: How to calculate Peer Lending returns
Post by: TravelingPennies on April 16, 2014, 11:00:00 PM
from: core on April 16, 2014, 09:22:12 PM
Title: How to calculate Peer Lending returns
Post by: TravelingPennies on April 16, 2014, 11:00:00 PM
In general, if you can get returns on dollar-weighted average, you should be able to get returns on arithmetic average.

from: Emmanuel on April 17, 2014, 10:49:30 AM
Title: How to calculate Peer Lending returns
Post by: TravelingPennies on April 17, 2014, 11:00:00 PM
from: Fred on April 17, 2014, 08:41:45 PM
Title: How to calculate Peer Lending returns
Post by: TravelingPennies on April 17, 2014, 11:00:00 PM
from: Emmanuel on April 18, 2014, 11:02:12 AM
Title: How to calculate Peer Lending returns
Post by: TravelingPennies on April 17, 2014, 11:00:00 PM
from: Fred on April 18, 2014, 12:36:21 PM
Title: How to calculate Peer Lending returns
Post by: RaymondG on April 17, 2014, 11:00:00 PM
The cash flow in the image is not complete for calculating XIRR for this period. You should assume the whole account will be withdrawed at the end. So, you should add 5000 into cashflow in 4/1/2014. This cash flow assumes that net gain ($166.79) was withdrawed in every month.


I normally use a different approach. Treating the LC account as blackbox, the net cash flow would include only the following:
* Net account value at the beginning of the period
* Cash added to the LC account in the months within the period.
* Cash withdrawed from the account within the period
* The account's total net Deposit/WD in last month at the end of the period. (ignoring production from new money, and adding back withdrawals in the last month)

An example is given in the image: (Account total is col Y)
Formula for
          1st line: =-(Y13+Z13+AA13)    -- Except Deposit/WD, Y13, Z13, AA13 are as of END of September, 2013.
                                                               "Val of Bad..." is estimated loss from non-performing loans.
           other lines: =IF(W16=$X$9,Y16+Z16+AA16+AB16, IF(W16<$X$9, AB16,"")),   
                                where $X$9 = 47


Title: How to calculate Peer Lending returns
Post by: Fred93 on April 17, 2014, 11:00:00 PM
from: Emmanuel on April 18, 2014, 08:51:00 PM
Title: How to calculate Peer Lending returns
Post by: TravelingPennies on April 17, 2014, 11:00:00 PM
from: Emmanuel on April 18, 2014, 08:51:00 PM
Title: How to calculate Peer Lending returns
Post by: TravelingPennies on April 20, 2014, 11:00:00 PM
from: Fred93 on April 18, 2014, 09:02:54 PM
Title: How to calculate Peer Lending returns
Post by: twigster on April 28, 2014, 11:00:00 PM
I was reading this thinking what is wrong with the XIRR?  Here is a interesting link where the guy shows problems with some XIRR results.    https://www.mhj3.com/excel.htm  I doubt these type of 'wierd' results occur in most simple examples where the account balance never goes negative.

Also the paper mentions the Dietz method which gives somewhat similar results to the XIRR but not exactly the same. 
There is an interesting write up and excel showing both XIRR and Dietz used on an investment portfolio and comparing results.
http://www.financialwisdomforum.org/gummy-stuff/Dietz.htm‎  The results in this example are very similar, 8.19% for Dietz Annual Return and 8.40% for XIRR.
Title: How to calculate Peer Lending returns
Post by: TravelingPennies on April 28, 2014, 11:00:00 PM
Thanks for pointing to these examples!