1 00:00:00.000 --> 00:00:01.530 Sean Murray: I'm Sean Murray. 2 00:00:01.530 --> 00:00:04.840 Johny Fernandez: And I'm Johnny Fernandez and this guy he's 3 00:00:05.080 --> 00:00:06.490 decked out for Christmas. 4 00:00:06.490 --> 00:00:08.410 Sean Murray: I'm feeling very festive right now. I'm wearing 5 00:00:08.410 --> 00:00:11.800 black because I'm really getting into the holiday spirit. Really? 6 00:00:11.830 --> 00:00:14.740 It's like a Christmas funeral over here. I love it. Yeah. 7 00:00:15.000 --> 00:00:15.750 Johny Fernandez: I hate Christmas. 8 00:00:16.260 --> 00:00:18.390 Sean Murray: You well you dress like the Grinch, so I'm not 9 00:00:18.390 --> 00:00:19.020 surprised. 10 00:00:19.080 --> 00:00:21.780 Johny Fernandez: Well, you're all decked out. Happy holidays. 11 00:00:21.870 --> 00:00:23.940 Sean Murray: Happy holidays, Johnny. How are they? Yeah 12 00:00:23.970 --> 00:00:24.990 Johny Fernandez: So what are you supposed to be? 13 00:00:25.320 --> 00:00:28.110 Sean Murray: What am I supposed to be? A gift? Oh, I didn't 14 00:00:28.110 --> 00:00:31.320 know. This isn't like a costume. Like how am I gift this year? 15 00:00:31.470 --> 00:00:34.320 No, I just threw some garlins around me, you know, getting in 16 00:00:34.320 --> 00:00:37.500 the Spirit. And yeah, I do have some regrets, though. It's a 17 00:00:37.500 --> 00:00:38.940 little itchy. Yeah, 18 00:00:38.970 --> 00:00:39.690 Johny Fernandez: You want to take it off? 19 00:00:40.440 --> 00:00:43.350 Sean Murray: Let's just Let's just go. Let's see what happens. 20 00:00:43.380 --> 00:00:45.360 Johny Fernandez: All right, so let's just dive straight in. So 21 00:00:45.360 --> 00:00:47.400 we're gonna we're gonna we have a couple of different 22 00:00:47.400 --> 00:00:51.360 conversations. That's gonna that are gonna happen. But first and 23 00:00:51.360 --> 00:00:55.230 foremost, excited to be back. It's been a great year. It's 24 00:00:55.230 --> 00:00:56.520 pretty. It's been a great year. 25 00:00:56.910 --> 00:00:58.740 Sean Murray: It's been great. I don't know if it's been great. I 26 00:00:58.740 --> 00:00:59.520 think it's been 27 00:00:59.580 --> 00:01:01.920 Johny Fernandez: I think I'm still riding the high of Broker 28 00:01:01.920 --> 00:01:04.260 Fair. That's got to be Yeah. So 29 00:01:04.300 --> 00:01:07.840 Sean Murray: I'd say it wasn't the greatest year. You know, for 30 00:01:07.840 --> 00:01:10.600 a lot of people, but I'm right. That Broker Fair Broker Fair in 31 00:01:10.600 --> 00:01:13.720 person. Okay, it is ending off on a high note, I will give you 32 00:01:13.720 --> 00:01:17.710 that. It is ending off on a high note. But I think a lot of 2021 33 00:01:17.740 --> 00:01:24.370 felt like a something of a repeat of 2020. And it feels 34 00:01:24.370 --> 00:01:28.690 like it is turning around. Or we're not quite out of all of 35 00:01:28.690 --> 00:01:29.950 it. Just just yet. 36 00:01:29.990 --> 00:01:33.500 Johny Fernandez: Yeah, that's true. Alright, but to get to 37 00:01:33.500 --> 00:01:37.700 better news, let's, let's talk about a couple of things going 38 00:01:37.700 --> 00:01:40.100 on in the industry. Okay. Alright. So first things we're 39 00:01:40.100 --> 00:01:43.850 gonna talk about Balboa Capital, it was recently acquired by 40 00:01:43.850 --> 00:01:48.770 amorous Bancorp, so little bit break down Balboa Capital, they 41 00:01:48.770 --> 00:01:52.430 provide business lending solution to small and midsize 42 00:01:52.520 --> 00:01:56.210 mid sized businesses around the country. So what does this 43 00:01:56.210 --> 00:02:00.620 acquisition mean? So it's a it will essentially be acquired by 44 00:02:00.620 --> 00:02:04.760 Amherst bank. And pretty much increase your presence in the 45 00:02:04.760 --> 00:02:08.720 growing point of sale, finance in the sales financing market, a 46 00:02:08.720 --> 00:02:12.200 diversified portfolio. So a little bit of background about 47 00:02:12.200 --> 00:02:15.590 Balboa, it's a 30 year, it's been around for about 30 years 48 00:02:15.590 --> 00:02:20.480 give or take capital of technology and Amherst experts 49 00:02:20.720 --> 00:02:25.370 bank they expect a significant earning from their core 50 00:02:25.370 --> 00:02:29.660 operating strategy with Balboa. So they're pretty much looking 51 00:02:30.290 --> 00:02:33.740 for Balboa to really help them out. On on the tech side, really 52 00:02:33.740 --> 00:02:38.450 just kind of get that moving and get that going. Yeah, for by 53 00:02:38.450 --> 00:02:39.770 farming Balboa capital. 54 00:02:39.840 --> 00:02:42.030 Sean Murray: Yeah, it's kind of a nice way to end the year in 55 00:02:42.030 --> 00:02:46.770 acquisition. It's by a bank. For a long time we've been talking 56 00:02:46.770 --> 00:02:49.770 on here about how we're kind of returning back to banking. 57 00:02:49.840 --> 00:02:53.230 Johny Fernandez: Yeah, We're re we're banking, it's a cycle is 58 00:02:53.830 --> 00:02:56.350 it's going back again, and then in a couple years, someone's 59 00:02:56.350 --> 00:02:58.060 gonna be like, hey, I really discovered this really cool 60 00:02:58.060 --> 00:02:59.920 thing. Yeah. And it's, I 61 00:02:59.920 --> 00:03:01.570 Sean Murray: Have a new idea. We're going to work outside of 62 00:03:01.570 --> 00:03:01.990 banking. 63 00:03:02.020 --> 00:03:03.880 Johny Fernandez: But yeah, I feel like that comment kind of 64 00:03:03.880 --> 00:03:06.910 hurts my feelings a little bit sometimes. Because I think I'm 65 00:03:07.300 --> 00:03:09.130 part of that generation that's like, oh, my God, I discovered 66 00:03:09.130 --> 00:03:11.620 this new thing, put it into play, and then you find out 67 00:03:11.620 --> 00:03:12.280 someone else did 68 00:03:12.280 --> 00:03:15.165 Sean Murray: it, or someone else has been doing it for like, 30 69 00:03:15.226 --> 00:03:19.162 years. Yeah. Good one. Yeah. But it's a it's a nice, nice way to 70 00:03:19.224 --> 00:03:23.160 end the year for Balboa Capital. Congratulations to them on that 71 00:03:23.222 --> 00:03:26.789 news. We posted a link to it on our website. And you know, 72 00:03:26.850 --> 00:03:30.048 they're they're pretty significant in the equipment, 73 00:03:30.110 --> 00:03:34.108 finance, space. And I think it's a positive sign for everyone who 74 00:03:34.169 --> 00:03:37.367 works in the in the small business finance industry, 75 00:03:37.429 --> 00:03:41.550 regardless that a bank would find Balboa an attractive acquisition. 76 00:03:41.600 --> 00:03:44.420 Johny Fernandez: Yeah, I think it's interesting, because part 77 00:03:44.420 --> 00:03:48.590 of the acquisition, it's going to increase Bancorp's presence 78 00:03:48.620 --> 00:03:52.490 in the fast growing point of sale, financing markets. So I 79 00:03:52.490 --> 00:03:54.890 mean, they're really latching on and really trying to see the 80 00:03:54.890 --> 00:03:59.510 benefit of acquiring something like Balboa Capital. The next 81 00:03:59.510 --> 00:04:02.540 type of conversation, QuickBooks, we've talked about 82 00:04:02.540 --> 00:04:07.010 QuickBooks, QuickBooks before, but they're on their way to 83 00:04:07.010 --> 00:04:11.510 surpass pretty much the financials their financials is 84 00:04:11.510 --> 00:04:14.570 gonna surpass previous years. They're on they're on that 85 00:04:14.570 --> 00:04:20.120 trajectory. So we review their fiscal year from 2019. best year 86 00:04:20.120 --> 00:04:29.750 ever. 316,000,0 2020. They went 243,000,0 2022. They're at 230 87 00:04:30.080 --> 00:04:31.310 $32 million. 88 00:04:31.900 --> 00:04:34.810 Sean Murray: So let's, let's, let's just back it up and why it 89 00:04:34.810 --> 00:04:36.970 might be confusing because they're, like you said they're 90 00:04:36.970 --> 00:04:43.480 on a fiscal year calendar. So their 2021 ended June 30. That 91 00:04:43.480 --> 00:04:47.170 was when their 2021 financials were completed. So they're in 92 00:04:47.170 --> 00:04:50.710 their fiscal year 2022. Now right now, yeah, so that's where 93 00:04:50.710 --> 00:04:53.770 it can kind of get confusing. They released their first 94 00:04:53.770 --> 00:04:57.970 quarter of fiscal year 2022. And that number, this is small 95 00:04:57.970 --> 00:05:01.600 business loan originations. QuickBooks Capital course is 96 00:05:01.600 --> 00:05:04.870 part of Intuit. This is a very large company. And you can 97 00:05:04.870 --> 00:05:08.170 imagine the advantage they have by having the QuickBooks 98 00:05:08.170 --> 00:05:10.720 software because so many small business owners around the 99 00:05:10.720 --> 00:05:14.590 country rely on QuickBooks to do their all their bookkeeping. So 100 00:05:14.590 --> 00:05:18.610 QuickBooks capital, their their funding arm of the company in 101 00:05:18.610 --> 00:05:22.480 the first quarter of fiscal year 2022. They originated $125 102 00:05:22.510 --> 00:05:27.970 million with a small business loans. And that's, that's 103 00:05:27.970 --> 00:05:30.490 obvious. That's already half the volume of what they did in the 104 00:05:30.640 --> 00:05:33.700 whole previous fiscal year. This is just one quarter. You 105 00:05:33.700 --> 00:05:39.250 mentioned before, they're 2019. Fiscal Year was 316 million. 106 00:05:39.280 --> 00:05:42.040 That's for the entire year. Yeah. So QuickBooks capital, if 107 00:05:42.040 --> 00:05:45.400 you just multiply their quarterly number, by four, 108 00:05:45.460 --> 00:05:48.820 you're gonna get about 500 million. So they're, you know, 109 00:05:48.940 --> 00:05:51.550 we'll see what happens. Yeah, but they're on pace for their 110 00:05:51.580 --> 00:05:55.660 their largest year ever. I'd say that's a very bullish, bullish 111 00:05:55.690 --> 00:06:00.130 sign. COVID did slow them down. Don't quote me on this 112 00:06:00.130 --> 00:06:03.790 particular number. But I was comparing the $125 million that 113 00:06:03.790 --> 00:06:06.610 they did in this previous quarter, to the same period in 114 00:06:06.610 --> 00:06:09.370 the, in the prior year. A lot of times people look at quarter on 115 00:06:09.370 --> 00:06:12.220 quarter, because businesses are cyclical, they can't always look 116 00:06:12.220 --> 00:06:17.170 at the past quarter, you can't say, well, Q3 was worse than Q2, 117 00:06:17.230 --> 00:06:19.210 therefore, it must mean something is wrong with the 118 00:06:19.210 --> 00:06:22.450 company, it could just, you know, mean, the seasonality is 119 00:06:22.450 --> 00:06:24.820 what caused that. So people like to look at quarter on quarter, 120 00:06:24.850 --> 00:06:27.250 you know, same period of the same period. And if I recall 121 00:06:27.250 --> 00:06:31.120 correctly, QuickBooks capital had only originated like $11 122 00:06:31.120 --> 00:06:34.570 million, with a small business loans in the same period in the 123 00:06:34.570 --> 00:06:38.890 previous year. Granted, that was the height of COVID. So it's no 124 00:06:38.890 --> 00:06:41.740 surprise that they scaled back. But that's quite a scale back to 125 00:06:41.740 --> 00:06:45.250 go to $11 million, for a quarter. Yep. And then to ramp 126 00:06:45.250 --> 00:06:49.030 that back up to $125 million for a quarter. That's very that's 127 00:06:49.030 --> 00:06:51.040 it. I mean, that's, that's major, it shows that QuickBooks 128 00:06:51.040 --> 00:06:56.470 Capital is feeling very confident in the the prospects 129 00:06:56.470 --> 00:06:59.200 going forward, that they've ramped their business lending 130 00:06:59.200 --> 00:07:02.530 operation, not only back to where it was, but to a level 131 00:07:02.530 --> 00:07:07.360 that has higher than they've ever done historically. And just 132 00:07:07.360 --> 00:07:09.910 another just another thing to bring up on all this is that 133 00:07:10.330 --> 00:07:13.870 here the perfect example of a tech company that's come into 134 00:07:13.870 --> 00:07:16.630 the small business lending market, and just made a major 135 00:07:16.630 --> 00:07:20.140 splash. They came in late to the game. Yeah, right. So many of 136 00:07:20.140 --> 00:07:23.590 your competitors have been in it for more than 10 years. But what 137 00:07:23.590 --> 00:07:25.840 they have the advantage of they already have, they already have 138 00:07:25.840 --> 00:07:29.140 scale. And they already have the infrastructure in place where 139 00:07:29.140 --> 00:07:31.630 every small business in the country is essentially using the 140 00:07:31.630 --> 00:07:35.290 software. Everyone needs. Everyone uses QuickBooks. So if 141 00:07:35.290 --> 00:07:38.860 you were if you're a small business lender, I would imagine 142 00:07:38.860 --> 00:07:42.430 that you would probably feel quite threatened by QuickBooks 143 00:07:42.430 --> 00:07:46.120 capital, given that their accounting software you know, 144 00:07:46.120 --> 00:07:48.640 they're they're a system that's in every every business, you can 145 00:07:48.640 --> 00:07:52.450 just go and click the you know, the funding button and apply for 146 00:07:52.450 --> 00:07:55.120 capital and get it quickly because QuickBooks already has 147 00:07:55.120 --> 00:07:57.880 access to all your bookkeeping. Yeah. So yeah. 148 00:07:59.580 --> 00:08:01.620 Johny Fernandez: Well, and even adds like, either you're an 149 00:08:01.650 --> 00:08:04.560 independent contractor or you want to do something as opposed 150 00:08:04.560 --> 00:08:07.530 to like, look at your credit, merge with intuit intuit 151 00:08:07.920 --> 00:08:10.620 QuickBooks like you don't you? Don't even i 152 00:08:10.960 --> 00:08:13.150 Sean Murray: Yeah, you know, among all the tech companies, 153 00:08:13.150 --> 00:08:16.090 QuickBook Capital is still on the smaller side, they're not as 154 00:08:16.090 --> 00:08:22.690 big as PayPal or Square just quite yet when it comes to the 155 00:08:22.720 --> 00:08:25.840 small business lending volume. But I think that they will get 156 00:08:25.840 --> 00:08:29.350 there. Undoubtedly, because of the advantage they have. I 157 00:08:29.350 --> 00:08:32.740 thought it was kind of curious. I looked at the I listened to 158 00:08:32.740 --> 00:08:36.340 the earnings call that took place every time company listed 159 00:08:36.340 --> 00:08:39.940 their quarterly figures, they do an earnings call. And I was 160 00:08:39.940 --> 00:08:43.450 surprised and maybe I missed it. But I was surprised to have not 161 00:08:43.450 --> 00:08:46.720 heard any questions about their small business lending 162 00:08:47.260 --> 00:08:51.220 operation, maybe because in the in the grand scheme of Intuit, 163 00:08:51.220 --> 00:08:53.560 which is such a large company, they recently acquired 164 00:08:53.560 --> 00:08:57.160 MailChimp, they acquired Credit Karma. So they got a lot of 165 00:08:57.160 --> 00:09:00.190 things going on. Yeah, and QuickBooks is also is massive 166 00:09:00.340 --> 00:09:03.760 for the fact that they only did $125 million in a quarter small 167 00:09:03.760 --> 00:09:06.580 business loans might have just been something that's just too 168 00:09:06.580 --> 00:09:09.010 insignificant in the grand scheme of things. None of the 169 00:09:09.010 --> 00:09:11.860 analysts and none of the analysts on the call asked any 170 00:09:11.860 --> 00:09:15.520 questions about their QuickBooks Capital business. In fact, 171 00:09:15.520 --> 00:09:18.520 that's why I had to do like a double A double check of the 172 00:09:18.520 --> 00:09:21.130 numbers because I'm like, Hey, this is a significant ramp up 173 00:09:21.160 --> 00:09:23.890 Yeah, right. This and it's stuff it's stuff that we would write 174 00:09:23.890 --> 00:09:27.880 about things that we care about. Yeah. But it seemed that nobody 175 00:09:27.880 --> 00:09:30.850 else found it significant enough compared to the entire thing 176 00:09:31.000 --> 00:09:34.300 they own MailChimp Intuit owns MailChimp, I have MailChimp 177 00:09:34.300 --> 00:09:38.170 account. See, I mean, think about how powerful that is. If 178 00:09:38.170 --> 00:09:41.380 you if you have a small business lending operation, if a business 179 00:09:41.380 --> 00:09:44.410 is using MailChimp, boom, that's an opportunity for QuickBooks 180 00:09:44.410 --> 00:09:47.740 Capital jump in these QuickBooks software. There's an opportunity 181 00:09:47.770 --> 00:09:50.140 they use Credit Karma if you're you know, your business owner, 182 00:09:50.140 --> 00:09:55.510 your see you you are already halfway into you. If you're a 183 00:09:55.510 --> 00:09:59.140 business owner halfway into using QuickBooks for to get a 184 00:09:59.140 --> 00:10:01.570 loan right there. They already have they already have you as 185 00:10:01.570 --> 00:10:02.590 the customer. But they 186 00:10:02.590 --> 00:10:05.320 Johny Fernandez: Also set up the platform. So you can pretty much 187 00:10:05.320 --> 00:10:08.830 do like an ala carte servicing, you know, pick and choose versus 188 00:10:08.830 --> 00:10:13.210 like only having one and then going to go elsewhere to get all 189 00:10:13.210 --> 00:10:15.040 these different services. It's all there. Yeah. 190 00:10:15.040 --> 00:10:17.310 Sean Murray: And you already have a relationship with these 191 00:10:17.310 --> 00:10:20.340 companies. So if you're worried about Who can I trust? Yeah. 192 00:10:20.400 --> 00:10:23.160 Because that's, that's a whole part. That's a huge part of the 193 00:10:23.160 --> 00:10:27.060 transaction. If if two companies are kind of offering things, you 194 00:10:27.060 --> 00:10:29.190 know, that at the same rate, or whatever, and once someone 195 00:10:29.190 --> 00:10:32.250 called you on the phone, and another say Credit Karma, 196 00:10:32.250 --> 00:10:34.650 MailChimp or QuickBooks, well, you already have that 197 00:10:34.650 --> 00:10:37.290 established trust, they're not going to screw me over, I'm 198 00:10:37.290 --> 00:10:39.030 already their customer. They're a big company. That's what 199 00:10:39.030 --> 00:10:42.150 Johny Fernandez: I feel like, with my bank, for example, I 200 00:10:42.150 --> 00:10:44.910 think, you know, or just any service that you already have a 201 00:10:44.910 --> 00:10:48.300 relationship with you automatically. They have 202 00:10:48.300 --> 00:10:49.260 everything. It's easy. 203 00:10:49.260 --> 00:10:51.010 Sean Murray: They have everything. Yeah, so that's, 204 00:10:51.040 --> 00:10:53.560 that's what makes QuickBook's Capital dangerous. So if you're 205 00:10:53.560 --> 00:10:55.600 looking at the number, and you're like, showing, it's only 206 00:10:55.600 --> 00:10:59.860 $125 million for the quarter it's big, but it's not massive, 207 00:11:00.550 --> 00:11:03.610 you have to worry what the potential threat is down the 208 00:11:03.610 --> 00:11:07.420 road. Yeah, by them having that access. And that existing 209 00:11:07.420 --> 00:11:11.770 relationship with customers, I think time is proving that 210 00:11:11.770 --> 00:11:14.860 companies that had that advantage, are just in a 211 00:11:14.860 --> 00:11:19.750 position to win long term, like square square, for example, the 212 00:11:19.750 --> 00:11:23.080 fact that they're already the the point of sale system for so 213 00:11:23.080 --> 00:11:25.210 many companies out there, and they can just go on there and 214 00:11:25.210 --> 00:11:29.530 press the get capital button. And if you enter into some type 215 00:11:29.530 --> 00:11:32.830 of recession, and the lending business just comes to a 216 00:11:32.830 --> 00:11:37.360 screeching halt. Yeah, they have the they're diversified. In 217 00:11:37.360 --> 00:11:40.690 another another thing, yeah, that that keeps everything 218 00:11:40.690 --> 00:11:45.400 going. If you're a lender, and, and nothing else. I understand 219 00:11:45.520 --> 00:11:49.390 that, you know, not everyone has to be all things. But you could 220 00:11:49.390 --> 00:11:52.840 be at a at an inherent disadvantage. Yeah. When things 221 00:11:53.200 --> 00:11:55.780 kind of go wrong, like, like a COVID. You know, what I mean? Or 222 00:11:55.780 --> 00:12:00.430 like a, like a financial crisis that Oh, ages stuff. So if you 223 00:12:00.430 --> 00:12:04.300 had the capability of becoming of diversifying your product 224 00:12:04.300 --> 00:12:06.640 line, I don't just mean like, another another loan product, 225 00:12:06.640 --> 00:12:08.800 you know, these people like we have some new products. Yeah, 226 00:12:08.830 --> 00:12:12.190 right. We do another loan, that's like, one, you know, 1%, 227 00:12:12.610 --> 00:12:15.130 cheaper than the other loan. It's not a different product. 228 00:12:15.130 --> 00:12:18.070 Yeah, it's the same product, but we're talking about like, adding 229 00:12:18.160 --> 00:12:20.860 a different almost like a different vertical, yeah, to 230 00:12:20.860 --> 00:12:24.340 your business. And then, and then the loans becomes a value 231 00:12:24.340 --> 00:12:27.550 add, where you don't have to have an acquisition cost to 232 00:12:27.550 --> 00:12:32.230 finding a loan customer, because you already have them as a 233 00:12:32.230 --> 00:12:35.380 customer to something else, just just things to think about and 234 00:12:35.380 --> 00:12:36.160 chew on out there. 235 00:12:36.630 --> 00:12:39.780 Johny Fernandez: For sure. And it's it's, I just think the fact 236 00:12:39.780 --> 00:12:42.840 that they have different platforms, essentially, that's 237 00:12:42.840 --> 00:12:46.740 going to give them the leg up regardless. Because they have 238 00:12:47.040 --> 00:12:49.350 think about like how many people use just their services in 239 00:12:49.350 --> 00:12:52.860 general, how many businesses, you know, customer they just 240 00:12:52.860 --> 00:12:56.550 acquire by just being in that space alone. Mm hmm. That's my 241 00:12:56.910 --> 00:13:00.450 Sure. So. So the next thing we're gonna talk about is IOU, 242 00:13:00.630 --> 00:13:07.380 not IOU. You know, the company. They announced that they will be 243 00:13:10.360 --> 00:13:13.330 Sean Murray: doing 24 months 24 month loans. Yeah, that's okay. 244 00:13:14.380 --> 00:13:17.260 Johny Fernandez: 24 months loans. But there's actually news 245 00:13:17.500 --> 00:13:21.160 from the follow up from back in August, when they announced that 246 00:13:21.160 --> 00:13:25.060 they were doing cash back loans. So the range for these loans are 247 00:13:25.060 --> 00:13:29.770 going to be anywhere from 300,000 to 600,000. And some 248 00:13:29.770 --> 00:13:31.750 requirements, you know, the requirements are things like you 249 00:13:31.750 --> 00:13:35.530 have to you have to have been in business for seven years, and 250 00:13:35.620 --> 00:13:39.070 they'll give you rewards, if you have like, high credit score, 251 00:13:39.070 --> 00:13:39.640 etc. 252 00:13:39.930 --> 00:13:42.420 Sean Murray: Yeah. So, yeah, I think the you know, the only 253 00:13:42.420 --> 00:13:45.510 significant part of the news. I mean, the news was the 24 month 254 00:13:45.510 --> 00:13:50.070 product, there has for a long time been a great interest and 255 00:13:50.070 --> 00:13:55.200 being able to offer longer term loans to small business 256 00:13:55.200 --> 00:13:59.760 customers. Yeah, I think that's one of the complaints that is 257 00:14:00.060 --> 00:14:04.770 often heard is that the payment terms are too short term. You 258 00:14:04.770 --> 00:14:06.720 know, if you have all these players in the market, and 259 00:14:06.720 --> 00:14:09.870 they're all They're all offering things that are essentially one 260 00:14:09.870 --> 00:14:13.350 year or last, right. Plenty of plenty of them do like 18 261 00:14:13.350 --> 00:14:17.220 months. And so but I think there's a tendency to focus on 262 00:14:17.310 --> 00:14:21.000 on the products that are like six to 12 months like, why can't 263 00:14:21.000 --> 00:14:24.000 we do longer? And if you're a loan broker, you would love to 264 00:14:24.000 --> 00:14:27.450 have that in your back pocket to be like, I can give you a 30 265 00:14:27.480 --> 00:14:30.270 year loan. Yeah. Right. Because it sounds so much better than 266 00:14:30.270 --> 00:14:33.270 saying you have to pay this back in like six months, or like a 267 00:14:33.300 --> 00:14:38.010 year. Yeah. Because that's gonna create some type of cash flow, 268 00:14:38.130 --> 00:14:42.300 which, you know, constraint on that business now has a budget, 269 00:14:42.930 --> 00:14:46.650 six months to 12 months worth of payments, versus something 270 00:14:46.650 --> 00:14:49.530 longer term. So if you're if you're a business loan broker, 271 00:14:49.590 --> 00:14:52.590 you're always pushing for longer terms, because you know, it'd be 272 00:14:52.620 --> 00:14:57.030 easier to sell the product. Yeah, the challenge with really 273 00:14:57.030 --> 00:15:02.340 going out beyond 24 months is that you're now subject to this 274 00:15:02.340 --> 00:15:06.720 so many fluctuations in the market. Yeah, there was a there, 275 00:15:06.750 --> 00:15:09.150 there have been a couple business lenders that have come 276 00:15:09.150 --> 00:15:11.280 in and looked at the small business lending market and 277 00:15:11.280 --> 00:15:15.930 said, Why is everyone doing six months? 12 months? Yeah, loans. 278 00:15:16.110 --> 00:15:18.330 You know, we're going to be geniuses, and we're going to do 279 00:15:18.330 --> 00:15:21.240 five year loans and seven year loans. Yeah, to help the 280 00:15:21.240 --> 00:15:25.530 merchant to help the customer. Right? No, like, we're so smart. 281 00:15:26.130 --> 00:15:28.590 I don't know why I'm fixing it. As if it has to be perfect. 282 00:15:28.590 --> 00:15:30.120 Yeah, it's just literally just threw it out. Yeah, I'm like 283 00:15:30.150 --> 00:15:34.710 this to be adjusted right. But they come in, and they're like, 284 00:15:34.740 --> 00:15:36.810 Well, we're so smart, we're gonna help the customer, we're 285 00:15:36.810 --> 00:15:40.950 going to do these longer term loans. And the problem is, is 286 00:15:40.950 --> 00:15:44.490 that so much can happen to that business? In five years? If 287 00:15:44.490 --> 00:15:46.800 you're giving money to a restaurant, you have to realize 288 00:15:46.800 --> 00:15:49.500 that the likelihood that of a rest a restaurant even serve 289 00:15:49.500 --> 00:15:53.520 surviving five years, yeah, is low. It's definitely it's 290 00:15:53.520 --> 00:15:53.940 doable, 291 00:15:53.940 --> 00:15:57.030 Johny Fernandez: But it's low. And the fact is, well, a perfect 292 00:15:57.030 --> 00:16:00.390 example of these guys that started in 2020, they, you know, 293 00:16:00.420 --> 00:16:03.210 they were ready to start a business, or whatever, something 294 00:16:03.210 --> 00:16:04.140 like COVID hits. 295 00:16:05.260 --> 00:16:07.510 Sean Murray: Yeah, and then and then this is gone, right? So 296 00:16:07.690 --> 00:16:11.920 even if there's no disaster, the prospect for a restaurant to 297 00:16:11.920 --> 00:16:15.220 last a long period of time is already low. Yeah. So to give 298 00:16:15.220 --> 00:16:18.160 them a loan for, say, five years, and obviously it can be 299 00:16:18.160 --> 00:16:21.370 done. But but it becomes very difficult to do at scale when 300 00:16:21.370 --> 00:16:23.680 you're just relying on FinTech. And it was like, you know, the, 301 00:16:23.710 --> 00:16:27.580 the algorithm says, I can do it, right. And you're like, wait a 302 00:16:27.580 --> 00:16:32.680 minute, time goes by and things just have a way of changing that 303 00:16:32.680 --> 00:16:36.190 restaurant falls out of favor, right? Or they just can't get 304 00:16:36.190 --> 00:16:38.890 the staff to the wait staff that they want. They get bad reviews 305 00:16:38.890 --> 00:16:43.270 on Yelp, the business is fine. But Yelp reviews crashing, right 306 00:16:43.270 --> 00:16:46.540 when a new chef comes in, and the food's is not the same. 307 00:16:46.570 --> 00:16:47.350 Yeah, right. And 308 00:16:47.540 --> 00:16:48.920 Johny Fernandez: There's so many little things that can happen, 309 00:16:48.950 --> 00:16:53.210 essentially, that can just make a business go wrong. But I think 310 00:16:53.360 --> 00:16:56.510 I mean, at the end of the day, when you wait five years, give 311 00:16:56.510 --> 00:17:00.260 someone a long pin, but then and they have to pay that back. I 312 00:17:00.260 --> 00:17:02.960 mean, we just don't there's no guarantee there's ever any 313 00:17:02.960 --> 00:17:06.470 guarantee guarantee, essentially that they will even last that 314 00:17:06.470 --> 00:17:07.130 long. So I mean, 315 00:17:07.130 --> 00:17:10.480 Sean Murray: Whether they had a loan or not. So it's very, very 316 00:17:10.480 --> 00:17:15.190 difficult. Yeah, to do long term loans, things like seven year 317 00:17:15.190 --> 00:17:17.680 loans and stuff. I don't know how to do it. And the other 318 00:17:17.680 --> 00:17:21.910 elephant in the room, the other elephant in the room, that when 319 00:17:21.910 --> 00:17:24.760 you do these long term loans they seem to be coupled with 320 00:17:24.790 --> 00:17:28.330 we're going to, we're also going to do low interest rates. Well, 321 00:17:28.360 --> 00:17:32.980 guess what? Well, inflation, over a trailing 12 month period 322 00:17:33.130 --> 00:17:36.850 is now about 7%. So if you're like we're gonna help the 323 00:17:36.850 --> 00:17:41.950 customer, we're gonna do business loans at 5% APR. Well, 324 00:17:41.980 --> 00:17:44.680 you're also just starting at a loss before you have any 325 00:17:44.680 --> 00:17:48.760 administrative fees. Your 5% return is going to underperform 326 00:17:48.760 --> 00:17:51.370 inflation by 2%. That doesn't include all the administrative 327 00:17:51.370 --> 00:17:54.220 costs, you know that you had involved with it? It doesn't get 328 00:17:54.220 --> 00:17:58.330 you had to pay rent, overhead, your credit poles, your 329 00:17:58.330 --> 00:18:01.900 collections team, you had to pay for all these things. Yeah. And 330 00:18:02.290 --> 00:18:06.880 so you've made far less then. than anything? Yeah, right. 331 00:18:06.880 --> 00:18:09.610 You've lost money. So you're setting yourself up for a 332 00:18:09.610 --> 00:18:11.680 complete fail? Yeah, right out of the gate. 333 00:18:11.710 --> 00:18:15.760 Johny Fernandez: Yeah it's true. So, again, 24 month loans, you 334 00:18:15.760 --> 00:18:17.380 know, and as a big announcement, 335 00:18:17.470 --> 00:18:19.570 Sean Murray: Yeah. So 24 months. That's tough. That's probably 336 00:18:19.660 --> 00:18:22.270 those. That's one of those magical thresholds. Yeah, well, 337 00:18:22.270 --> 00:18:25.780 it's still short. But it's still it's still long. It's still 338 00:18:25.780 --> 00:18:28.000 long. So that's, that's what I was getting at and all that. 339 00:18:29.850 --> 00:18:37.230 Johny Fernandez: But all that to say. It's been fun. It's been 340 00:18:37.230 --> 00:18:39.930 fun talking about these topics. Yeah, it's been fun. You're 341 00:18:39.930 --> 00:18:41.490 probably thinking where I'm going with this. 342 00:18:41.520 --> 00:18:42.810 Sean Murray: I am wondering, yes. 343 00:18:44.220 --> 00:18:45.690 Johny Fernandez: I'm not going anywhere, though. Say it's been 344 00:18:45.690 --> 00:18:48.030 fun talking about this. Okay. So we're almost to the end of the 345 00:18:48.030 --> 00:18:51.750 year. And next week, were gonna have a pretty cool show. 346 00:18:52.260 --> 00:18:55.620 Sean Murray: Yeah, Monday is gonna be our last show for 2021 347 00:18:55.860 --> 00:19:00.870 we'll obviously be back in 2022. But we're not going to be we're 348 00:19:00.870 --> 00:19:03.720 not going to be here like New Year's Eve, you know, rot. You 349 00:19:03.720 --> 00:19:09.090 know what, unless unless Well, you know, chew on that. Yeah, 350 00:19:09.090 --> 00:19:11.250 well think about it think about it. Well think about that, but 351 00:19:11.280 --> 00:19:17.490 yet Monday's should be our last last show of 2021 and that what 352 00:19:17.490 --> 00:19:22.080 you what the wheels are turning here you want to do you want to 353 00:19:22.080 --> 00:19:24.780 do like a New Year's Eve Countdown should we be like live 354 00:19:24.780 --> 00:19:28.140 in Times Square? I mean, we won't even be able to get into 355 00:19:28.140 --> 00:19:30.870 Time Square that's a lot I noticed the more you get out of 356 00:19:30.870 --> 00:19:37.050 here really I do know, someone Alright, so who knows what's 357 00:19:37.050 --> 00:19:40.140 gonna happen I thought Monday would be a last show. Somehow 358 00:19:40.140 --> 00:19:43.800 this is already potentially turning into broadcasting live 359 00:19:43.800 --> 00:19:46.260 from Times Square. Don't get any of your hopes up because he's 360 00:19:46.470 --> 00:19:48.750 he's literally proposing this on the fly. I don't know where it's 361 00:19:48.750 --> 00:19:50.940 going, or how real this friend is or whatever. 362 00:19:54.630 --> 00:19:56.130 Johny Fernandez: I'll make a phone call. I'll see 363 00:19:56.130 --> 00:19:59.090 Sean Murray: How you you know a guy I know. I know a guy. 364 00:19:59.480 --> 00:20:01.970 Johny Fernandez: Famous last words anyone ever said, alright, 365 00:20:02.000 --> 00:20:05.180 but yeah, Monday, possibly tentatively will be our last 366 00:20:05.180 --> 00:20:11.930 show. And we have a recap on Monday. So be fun. It's been a 367 00:20:11.930 --> 00:20:12.980 great year. So, 368 00:20:13.430 --> 00:20:16.580 Sean Murray: Yeah, it has been here. Yeah. It has been a great 369 00:20:16.580 --> 00:20:20.990 year. Yeah. It didn't end up on a high note. I think having 370 00:20:20.990 --> 00:20:26.150 Broker Fair in December, worked in a lot of different ways. It 371 00:20:26.150 --> 00:20:30.200 rejuvenated the industry. It did. It gave them so much 372 00:20:30.230 --> 00:20:33.260 optimism for 2022. I'm just saying this from from what I've 373 00:20:33.260 --> 00:20:36.170 seen, from the energy Yeah, the energy, 374 00:20:36.690 --> 00:20:38.310 Johny Fernandez: things that people have said to us. The 375 00:20:38.310 --> 00:20:41.280 comments, the messages. Everyone's ready to come back. 376 00:20:41.310 --> 00:20:43.950 Yeah, she's back. They did come back. 377 00:20:44.070 --> 00:20:46.620 Sean Murray: And they came back. So yeah, I think it was a nice a 378 00:20:46.620 --> 00:20:49.350 nice jolt of energy for the end of the year. Yeah, people are 379 00:20:49.350 --> 00:20:53.550 super pumped for 2022 We will be back in Miami. 380 00:20:53.750 --> 00:20:55.130 Johny Fernandez: So if you haven't got a ticket, go ahead 381 00:20:55.130 --> 00:20:56.660 and do that. And about that. 382 00:20:56.940 --> 00:20:59.721 Sean Murray: Don't forget about it because guess what the price 383 00:20:59.777 --> 00:21:02.948 is going to go up the price you see now is the early bird 384 00:21:03.003 --> 00:21:06.397 pricing. Yep. Not this is not part of my marketing pitch. The 385 00:21:06.452 --> 00:21:09.679 price will go up will go up by you waiting to be like, you 386 00:21:09.734 --> 00:21:13.072 know, buy my ticket, whatever after the new year when things 387 00:21:13.128 --> 00:21:16.410 are squared away. That's fine. You'll just pay more and I'm 388 00:21:16.466 --> 00:21:19.692 totally fine with that. So if you want to pay less buy the 389 00:21:19.748 --> 00:21:23.197 ticket now where's the location. The JW Marriott Marquis There 390 00:21:23.253 --> 00:21:26.423 you go. That's a JW Marriott Marquis. Alright in Miami in 391 00:21:26.479 --> 00:21:29.984 Miami. Prop Miami proper Miami proper not Miami Beach. We'll be 392 00:21:30.039 --> 00:21:30.930 in Miami proper. 393 00:21:30.959 --> 00:21:36.384 Johny Fernandez: Alright, let's do it. She's going back to Miami 394 00:21:36.500 --> 00:21:37.770 do do do do 395 00:21:39.330 --> 00:21:41.640 Sean Murray: I wish we had some music to just like yeah, it's 396 00:21:41.640 --> 00:21:42.750 just kind of let it hang out there. 397 00:21:42.780 --> 00:21:45.750 Johny Fernandez: Yeah. Alright, so don't forget about that. And 398 00:21:45.750 --> 00:21:48.930 then for the meantime, we'll see you guys next week. 399 00:21:49.590 --> 00:21:52.680 Sean Murray: Yeah, for our last show of 2021. Potentially 400 00:21:52.770 --> 00:21:53.490 potentially. 401 00:21:55.230 --> 00:21:59.730 Johny Fernandez: See you guys next time. I'm Johny. I'm Sean